The School of Odds

New York Jets v Minnesota Vikings

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 40.40%2.48fair odd
EV +2.62%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.75%40.40%40.31%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.342.5445%42%43%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 59.60%1.68fair odd
EV -0.470%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.702%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.60%59.69%62.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.581.6765%63%63%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV +2.62%E +1.03%K +1.70%G +0.045%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -8.22%E -5.34%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:44
Coolbet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.46%E -2.33%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 08:44
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.12%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.470%E -0.281%K -0.702%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.76%DraftKings 2.54 (39.7%) / Caesars 1.67 (60.3%)Show details
New York Jets (Local)Minnesota Vikings (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 2.54 (39.7%)Caesars 1.67 (60.3%)+0.755%