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New York Jets v Minnesota Vikings

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV +4.06%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%40.02%40.02%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.6045.45%41.67%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV +0.162%
Edge +0.097%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%59.98%59.98%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.591.6765.79%62.70%62.70%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Jets (Local): 40.02%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 59.98%. For New York Jets (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.60, producing a positive expected value of +4.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +4.06%E +1.56%K +2.54%G +0.103%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -8.83%E -5.81%K -16.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 14:45
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -11.95%E -5.43%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +0.162%E +0.097%K +0.242%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-21 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +1.69%DraftKings 2.60 (39.1%) / Caesars 1.67 (60.9%)Show details
New York Jets (Local)Minnesota Vikings (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (39.1%)Caesars🎯 1.67 (60.9%)+1.69%

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