The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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New York Jets v Miami Dolphins

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 17:03 UTC

Final: New York Jets 25–28 Miami Dolphins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 64.07%1.56fair odd
EV -0.686%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.96%63.91%64.08%65.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5571.43%66.92%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 35.93%2.78fair odd
EV +0.594%
Edge +0.212%
Kelly +0.330%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%36.09%35.92%39.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.612.622.8044.84%38.26%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Jets (Local): 64.07%; Miami Dolphins (Visit): 35.93%. For Miami Dolphins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.594%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -6.45%E -4.42%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +0.594%E +0.212%K +0.330%G +0.002%4.2%2026-10-25 15:35
Everygame🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.20%E -0.437%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-25 13:05
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.20%E -0.437%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.20%E -0.437%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.20%E -0.437%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.20%E -0.437%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 15:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.20%E -0.437%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.56%E -0.570%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -1.56%E -0.570%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.97%E -1.29%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -1.92%E -0.704%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-25 16:33
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -3.25%E -2.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -1.92%E -0.704%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-25 16:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 16:43
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 16:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 16:55
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.00%E -1.11%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 16:13
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -4.08%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 15:23
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.25%E -2.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -4.44%E -1.67%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.25%E -2.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.53%E -3.04%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.17%E -3.49%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.81%E -3.95%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 16:55
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.73%E -5.37%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:00
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.25%E -2.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 16:57
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.09%E -4.89%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.87%E -2.24%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 16:33
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.61%E -1.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 15:23
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 17:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 16:50
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.81%E -3.95%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 05:30
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.09%E -4.89%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.59%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -8.37%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -7.67%E -2.98%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 16:44
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 17:00
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.89%E -2.59%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.09%E -4.89%K -15.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -8.37%E -5.86%K -19.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -10.18%E -4.07%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:57
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -11.98%E -4.89%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 16:56
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -0.686%E -0.442%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -13.06%E -5.40%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.30%E -7.35%K -25.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.57%EV -19.88%E -8.92%K -16.17%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-25 16:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-10-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-10-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-10-25 16:57
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-25 16:35
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-25 16:55
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-25 16:15
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-10-25 17:00
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.02%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.98%1.4%2026-10-25 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%4.5%2026-10-25 16:59