Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets v Las Vegas Raiders

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd

EV -5.28%

Edge -2.93%

Kelly -6.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.00%52.62%52.62%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.801.801.8055.56%55.56%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -1.40%

Kelly -2.74%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.75%47.38%47.38%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.952.002.002.0551.28%50.00%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Jets (Local): 52.62%; Las Vegas Raiders (Visit): 47.38%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:45
Caesars🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.