The School of Odds

New York Jets v Green Bay Packers

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 30.96%3.23fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.46%30.96%30.96%31.46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.083.053.1533%32%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 69.04%1.45fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -8.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.54%69.04%69.04%69.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.381.391.381.4072%72%72%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.47%E -0.784%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 01:00
Caesars3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.57%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.35%E -2.39%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 02:58
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.57%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.