Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets v Green Bay Packers

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

31%

69%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 31.46%3.18fair odd

EV -4.04%

Edge -1.33%

Kelly -1.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.46%31.46%31.46%31.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.033.053.0533.33%32.97%32.79%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 68.54%1.46fair odd

EV -4.04%

Edge -2.89%

Kelly -10.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.34%68.54%68.54%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.391.401.401.4071.94%71.60%71.43%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Jets (Local): 31.46%; Green Bay Packers (Visit): 68.54%. For Green Bay Packers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.40, with an expected value of -4.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-11 15:49
Caesars🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.04%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.04%E -2.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-15 02:58
Betr (AU)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.62%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.73%E -3.40%K -12.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 05:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.03I 97.09%NM 50.00%	1.03I 97.09%NM 50.00%	94.2%	2026-08-14 05:15

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