Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets v Denver Broncos

2026-12-13 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 33.15%3.02fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%33.15%33.15%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.882.882.9535.71%34.78%34.78%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 66.85%1.50fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -3.08%
Kelly -10.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%66.85%66.85%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.421.421.4370.42%70.18%70.18%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.21%E -0.748%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.07%E -3.57%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.18%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.40%E -3.08%K -10.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 04:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.