Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Jets v Cleveland Browns

Inicio: 2026-10-11 17:02 UTC

Final: New York Jets 17–12 Cleveland Browns

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Jets (Local)

Predicción 56.38%1.77momio equitativo
EV -0.212%
Ventaja -0.120%
Kelly -0.276%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%56.34%56.41%58.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.691.701.7764.52%59.07%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Browns (Visitante)

Predicción 43.62%2.29momio equitativo
EV +0.332%
Ventaja +0.145%
Kelly +0.256%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.66%43.59%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.932.182.172.3051.81%45.97%46.08%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Jets (Local): 56.38%; Cleveland Browns (Visitante): 43.62%. Para Cleveland Browns (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.29. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.332%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.332%E +0.145%K +0.256%G +0.001%3.4%2026-10-11 16:59
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.332%E +0.145%K +0.256%G +0.001%3.4%2026-10-11 17:00
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.67%E -5.35%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +0.332%E +0.145%K +0.256%G +0.001%5.2%2026-10-11 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -0.104%E -0.045%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-11 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.540%E -0.237%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.0%2026-10-11 16:49
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -9.23%E -5.73%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -0.540%E -0.237%K -0.422%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.976%E -0.430%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.976%E -0.430%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 16:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.41%E -0.625%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-11 16:33
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.85%E -0.822%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-11 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -2.28%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:29
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-11 16:44
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:35
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-11 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:34
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-11 16:25
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.03%E -1.83%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 15:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -4.47%E -2.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -4.47%E -2.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -4.47%E -2.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -1.90%E -1.09%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -4.47%E -2.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -5.34%E -2.46%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-10 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.34%E -2.46%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:29
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:49
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:34
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.16%E -2.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 16:48
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.85%E -3.50%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 16:48
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.21%E -2.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -4.72%E -2.79%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.65%E -3.11%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 16:54
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.39%E -4.00%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-11 16:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -3.03%E -1.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -9.26%E -4.45%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.91%EV -7.54%E -4.60%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -9.26%E -4.45%K -8.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.98%E -4.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -9.70%E -4.69%K -9.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -0.212%E -0.120%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -12.75%E -6.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 13:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -5.29%E -3.15%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -12.75%E -6.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 16:33
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.46%EV -12.62%E -8.14%K -22.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.54%EV -15.81%E -8.19%K -17.00%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-10-11 16:59
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-10-11 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-10-11 17:00
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-10-11 16:49
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-10-11 16:59
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-11 04:05
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-10-10 16:35
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-10-11 16:59