New York Jets v Buffalo Bills

2026-11-15 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

27%

73%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Jets (Local)

Prediction 27.25%3.67fair odd

EV -1.91%

Edge -0.531%

Kelly -0.735%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.68%27.25%27.25%27.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.403.503.503.6029%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 72.75%1.37fair odd

EV -4.69%

Edge -3.58%

Kelly -15.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.19%72.75%72.75%73.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.311.311.311.3176%76%76%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.91%E -0.531%K -0.735%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-21 09:04
Caesars	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.36%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.69%E -3.58%K -15.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.