New York Jets v Buffalo Bills

2026-11-15 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: New York Jets (Local)

Odds

3.4029.41%Min

3.5528.17%Mean

3.5528.17%Median

3.7027.03%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.85%3.868Min

27.81%3.595Max

26.83%3.727Mean

26.83%3.727Median

26.83%3.727IQM

26.74%3.740Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 26.83%

EV -0.720%Edge -0.195%Kelly -0.267%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Odds

1.2977.52%Min

1.3076.92%Mean

1.3076.92%Median

1.3176.34%Max

Consensus probabilities

72.19%1.385Min

74.15%1.349Max

73.17%1.367Mean

73.17%1.367Median

73.17%1.367IQM

73.26%1.365Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.31 under the IQM model: 73.17%

EV -4.15%Edge -3.17%Kelly -13.39%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	New York Jets (Local) ▼	Buffalo Bills (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.85%EV -0.720% E -0.195% K -0.267% G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52% NM 74.15%EV -5.61% E -4.35% K -19.36% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-30 09:53
Caesars	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -8.77% E -2.58% K -3.65% G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34% NM 72.19%EV -4.15% E -3.17% K -13.39% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth