Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Giants v Tennessee Titans

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 17:02 UTC

Final: New York Giants 12–7 Tennessee Titans

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Giants (Local)

Prediction 55.39%1.81fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.17%55.37%55.35%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.721.721.7764.94%58.21%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.63%44.65%45.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.142.152.2151.28%46.67%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Giants (Local): 55.39%; Tennessee Titans (Visit): 44.61%. For Tennessee Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.95%E -1.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 02:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.95%E -1.10%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 03:19
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.51%E -1.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 16:04
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.51%E -1.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-27 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-27 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 15:34
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 17:00
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 04:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 15:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 13:30
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 16:52
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 12:04
TAB🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 04:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.67%E -3.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 17:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 17:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.42%E -0.644%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 17:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 16:59
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.72%E -2.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.76%E -1.27%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 18:17
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.72%E -2.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 14:45
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.72%E -2.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 16:00
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.72%E -2.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 16:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.87%E -0.849%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 15:15
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.87%E -0.849%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-27 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.76%E -1.27%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 17:30
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 17:31
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 17:29
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.21%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 14:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-27 15:30
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.87%E -0.849%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-27 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 15:30
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 13:29
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 18:30
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 23:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-27 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.76%E -1.27%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 15:30
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.56%E -4.18%K -8.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 16:33
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-27 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -7.67%E -3.70%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-27 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.87%EV -14.69%E -9.54%K -27.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.13%EV -13.02%E -6.68%K -13.71%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-26 17:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-09-27 17:00
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-25 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-09-27 17:00
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-27 16:25
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-09-27 16:20
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-09-27 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.40I 71.43%NM 61.11%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%16.9%2026-09-27 16:45