The School of Odds

New York Giants v Tennessee Titans

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Giants (Local)

Prediction 60.61%1.65fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -5.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%60.61%60.61%61.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.561.6066%64%64%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV -5.47%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.78%39.39%39.39%40.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.402.402.4042%42%42%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 08:20
Caesars1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 20:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.