The School of Odds

New York Giants v New Orleans Saints

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Giants (Local)

Prediction 59.36%1.68fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.164%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.36%59.36%61.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6864%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 40.64%2.46fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.640%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.64%40.64%42.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.242.372.372.5045%42%42%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.40%E -4.74%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.60%E +0.640%K +1.07%G +0.017%4.1%2026-06-15 22:47
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -0.276%E -0.164%K -0.406%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -8.97%E -4.00%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 00:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.48%DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%) / Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)Show details
New York Giants (Local)New Orleans Saints (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%)Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%