The School of Odds
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New Orleans Saints v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-25 13:30 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Prediction 45.21%2.21fair odd
EV -0.544%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.453%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%45.03%45.25%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.48%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 54.79%1.83fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%54.97%54.75%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.731.731.7758.82%57.67%57.64%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New Orleans Saints (Local): 45.21%; Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit): 54.79%. For New Orleans Saints (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -0.544%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.544%E -0.247%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:15
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.80%E -1.30%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 01:15
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.61%E -2.19%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.66%E -2.68%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 01:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.02%E -1.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 19:10
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.02%E -1.70%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 19:10
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.56%E -2.03%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:08
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.06%E -2.41%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.21%E -3.01%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 01:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 01:15
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.33%E -3.57%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.85%E -4.03%K -9.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 19:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%8.2%2026-07-21 01:15