The School of Odds

New Orleans Saints v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-10-25 13:30 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Prediction 45.30%2.21fair odd
EV -0.330%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.275%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%45.19%45.25%46.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.022.092.102.2050%48%48%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 54.70%1.83fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.81%54.75%56.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.741.741.7959%57%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.330%E -0.150%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -7.02%E -4.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 01:15
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.60%E -1.21%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.83%E -2.78%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-21 01:15
ReBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -4.41%E -2.09%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -4.83%E -2.78%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-21 01:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.19%E -1.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 18:50
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.74%E -2.12%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 13:08
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.28%E -2.45%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 18:45
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.28%E -2.45%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 18:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.38%E -3.11%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.38%E -3.11%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.38%E -3.11%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 01:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.86%E -2.31%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.38%E -3.11%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:10
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.09%E -1.17%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:49
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.64%E -1.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:49
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.47%E -3.78%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 21:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -5.77%E -2.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -6.47%E -3.78%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-14 21:19
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.19%E -1.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.19%E -1.80%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 18:45
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.28%E -2.45%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.13%E -3.48%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.02%E -4.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 01:15
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.49%E -4.20%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.02%E -4.13%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%8.2%2026-07-21 01:15