New Orleans Saints v Las Vegas Raiders

2026-09-27 20:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: New Orleans Saints (Local)

Odds

1.4867.57%Min

1.5464.94%Mean

1.5464.94%Median

1.6062.50%Max

Consensus probabilities

60.00%1.667Min

63.73%1.569Max

61.86%1.616Mean

61.86%1.616Median

61.86%1.616IQM

61.58%1.624Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.60 under the IQM model: 61.86%

EV -1.02%Edge -0.637%Kelly -1.70%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

Odds

2.4041.67%Min

2.5040.00%Mean

2.5040.00%Median

2.6038.46%Max

Consensus probabilities

36.27%2.757Min

40.00%2.500Max

38.14%2.622Mean

38.14%2.622Median

38.14%2.622IQM

38.42%2.603Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 38.14%

EV -0.843%Edge -0.324%Kelly -0.527%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	New Orleans Saints (Local) ▼	Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -1.02% E -0.637% K -1.70% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -8.47% E -3.53% K -6.05% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:49
Bet Right	1.54I 64.94% NM 61.88%EV -4.73% E -3.07% K -8.76% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.12%EV -4.66% E -1.86% K -3.10% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -8.44% E -5.70% K -17.59% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -0.843% E -0.324% K -0.527% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-15 21:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth