Language:English
New Orleans Saints v Las Vegas Raiders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Orleans Saints (Local)
Prediction 63.97%1.56fair odd
EV +0.430%
Edge +0.274%
Kelly +0.755%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%64.00%64.24%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5770.42%66.97%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)
Prediction 36.03%2.78fair odd
EV +1.97%
Edge +0.696%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 2.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%36.00%35.76%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.602.8342.02%38.16%38.46%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Saints (Local): 63.97%; Las Vegas Raiders (Visit): 36.03%. For Las Vegas Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +1.97%E +0.696%K +1.08%G +0.021% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +1.97%E +0.696%K +1.08%G +0.021% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.889%E +0.318%K +0.494%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.17%E -6.45%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +0.889%E +0.318%K +0.494%G +0.004% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV +0.168%E +0.061%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 20:22 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -2.77%E -1.82%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 20:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -0.913%E -0.332%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 20:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.24%EV -2.77%E -1.82%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.76%EV -1.63%E -0.598%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-27 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -2.35%E -0.869%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 20:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.69%E -3.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 20:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.71%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.07%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.52%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.52%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.52%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.52%E -1.70%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.88%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.77%E -1.82%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.32%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.68%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -6.68%E -2.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.49%E -0.967%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.13%E -1.39%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 20:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.12%E -3.18%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -2.13%E -1.39%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -9.20%E -3.65%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -1.49%E -0.967%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 18:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 19:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 20:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-27 20:13 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -1.49%E -0.967%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -10.64%E -4.29%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -10.64%E -4.29%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -11.72%E -4.78%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -1.49%E -0.967%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -12.08%E -4.95%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.95%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.05%EV -12.44%E -5.12%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +0.430%E +0.274%K +0.755%G +0.003% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -14.24%E -5.99%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +0.430%E +0.274%K +0.755%G +0.003% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -14.24%E -5.99%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 66.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 33.41% | -1.9% | 2026-09-27 20:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 20:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03% | 1.9% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 2.5% | 2026-09-27 20:25 |