The School of Odds

New Orleans Saints v Green Bay Packers

2026-12-06 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV -0.693%
Edge -0.247%
Kelly -0.385%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%35.47%35.85%36.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.682.632.8038%37%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 64.53%1.55fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -9.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%64.53%64.15%65.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.461.471.471.4868%68%68%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -0.693%E -0.247%K -0.385%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:07
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.72%E -2.56%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.14%E -3.49%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -2.99%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.