The School of Odds

New Orleans Saints v Cleveland Browns

2026-11-08 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Prediction 65.68%1.52fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -8.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%65.68%65.68%65.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.441.451.451.4669%69%69%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 34.32%2.91fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%34.32%34.32%34.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.772.772.8036%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.11%E -2.81%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.90%E -1.39%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 09:47
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.42%E -3.76%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.62%E -2.04%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 09:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.