The School of Odds

New Orleans Saints v Carolina Panthers

2026-11-15 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New Orleans Saints (Local)

Prediction 54.53%1.83fair odd
EV -0.204%
Edge -0.111%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.53%54.53%56.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.751.8360%57%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 45.47%2.20fair odd
EV +0.026%
Edge +0.012%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%45.47%45.47%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2050%48%48%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.026%E +0.012%K +0.022%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 09:57
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.204%E -0.111%K -0.246%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -9.07%E -4.53%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 09:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.