Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New England Patriots v New York Jets

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New England Patriots (Local)

Prediction 74.22%1.35fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -8.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.63%74.25%74.15%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.281.291.3186.21%78.05%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Jets (Visit)

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.784%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.033%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.75%25.85%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.693.704.0029.85%27.09%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New England Patriots (Local): 74.22%; New York Jets (Visit): 25.78%. For New York Jets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.14%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033%5.0%2026-10-14 05:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.14%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033%5.0%2026-10-14 05:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.14%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033%5.0%2026-10-14 05:10
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.14%E +0.784%K +1.05%G +0.033%5.0%2026-10-14 05:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -0.732%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-13 12:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -0.732%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-13 12:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -0.732%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-13 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV -0.732%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-13 12:29
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -0.732%E -0.190%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-14 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.75%E -4.52%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -1.51%E -0.394%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 21:14
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-13 21:14
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-14 07:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 05:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.02%E -0.532%K -0.722%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-12 00:59
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 05:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-13 12:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 08:39
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-12 09:44
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 12:29
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 12:29
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 12:29
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -3.31%E -0.883%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-13 12:29
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -2.78%E -2.12%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -4.34%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-13 10:35
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -2.78%E -2.12%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-13 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 07:44
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-14 07:43
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-12 12:14
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-12 13:17
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 06:15
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 12:14
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-14 06:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.52%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-14 05:13
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.75%E -4.52%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-14 05:15
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.49%E -5.15%K -24.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.60%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 07:04
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.37%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 23:55
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.14%EV -5.00%E -3.91%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.86%EV -5.37%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.78%E -2.12%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-13 22:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -2.78%E -2.12%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-13 22:44
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-13 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 07:45
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.89%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 21:49
BetAnything🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 12:14
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 23:49
TAB🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 23:35
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-13 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 05:08
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.18%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 07:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.97%E -6.43%K -33.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.47%E -2.39%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-14 06:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-13 23:50
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-14 07:42
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 10:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.26%E -3.30%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-13 10:34
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 21:44
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.76%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-13 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.52%E -2.71%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-13 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -7.23%E -5.78%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -11.05%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-14 05:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 74.28%EV -13.91%E -11.99%K -86.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -13.62%E -4.07%K -5.80%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-13 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.34I 74.63%NM 74.52%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.48%0.1%2026-10-14 05:29
Polymarket◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-12 01:05
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-14 07:10
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-13 13:39
ProphetX◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-14 07:05
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-14 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-10-14 06:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-10-14 02:00
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-10-14 07:45