The School of Odds

New England Patriots v New York Jets

2026-10-18 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: New England Patriots (Local)

1.1984.03%Min
1.2182.64%Mean
1.2182.64%Median
1.2381.30%Max
78.15%1.280Min
79.97%1.251Max
79.06%1.265Mean
79.06%1.265Median
79.06%1.265IQM
78.97%1.266Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.23 under the IQM model: 79.06%

EV -2.76%Edge -2.24%Kelly -11.99%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New York Jets (Visit)

4.4022.73%Min
4.5821.86%Mean
4.5821.86%Median
4.7521.05%Max
20.03%4.992Min
21.85%4.577Max
20.94%4.775Mean
20.94%4.775Median
20.94%4.775IQM
21.03%4.756Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.75 under the IQM model: 20.94%

EV -0.533%Edge -0.112%Kelly -0.142%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNew England Patriots (Local) ▼New York Jets (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.23I 81.30% NM 78.15%EV -2.76% E -2.24% K -11.99% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.85%EV -7.86% E -1.79% K -2.31% G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 22:40
Caesars1.19I 84.03% NM 79.97%EV -5.92% E -4.97% K -31.15% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.03%EV -0.533% E -0.112% K -0.142% G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 22:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth