New England Patriots v New York Jets

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New England Patriots (Local)

Prediction 79.06%1.26fair odd

EV -2.76%

Edge -2.24%

Kelly -11.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

78.15%79.06%79.06%79.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.191.211.211.2384%83%83%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Jets (Visit)

Prediction 20.94%4.78fair odd

EV -0.533%

Edge -0.112%

Kelly -0.142%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.03%20.94%20.94%21.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.404.584.584.7523%22%22%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.76%E -2.24%K -11.99%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-15 22:40
Caesars	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.92%E -4.97%K -31.15%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -0.533%E -0.112%K -0.142%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-15 22:47

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.