New England Patriots v Green Bay Packers

2026-11-08 21:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: New England Patriots (Local)

Odds

1.8055.56%Min

1.8055.56%Mean

1.8055.56%Median

1.8055.56%Max

Consensus probabilities

53.25%1.878Min

53.25%1.878Max

53.25%1.878Mean

53.25%1.878Median

53.25%1.878IQM

53.25%1.878Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 53.25%

EV -4.16%Edge -2.31%Kelly -5.19%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.0548.78%Mean

2.0548.78%Median

2.0548.78%Max

Consensus probabilities

46.75%2.139Min

46.75%2.139Max

46.75%2.139Mean

46.75%2.139Median

46.75%2.139IQM

46.75%2.139Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 46.75%

EV -4.16%Edge -2.03%Kelly -3.96%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	New England Patriots (Local) ▼	Green Bay Packers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.19% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.16% E -2.03% K -3.96% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 00:14
Caesars	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.16% E -2.31% K -5.19% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -4.16% E -2.03% K -3.96% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-26 09:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth