Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings v Washington Commanders

2026-12-27 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 55.25%1.81fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -5.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.25%55.25%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.721.721.7458.82%58.14%58.14%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Commanders (Visit)

Prediction 44.75%2.23fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.75%44.75%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.132.2048.78%47.06%47.06%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.87%E -2.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.26%E -4.03%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.08%E -3.57%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.55%E -0.705%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 04:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.