Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings v Washington Commanders

2026-12-27 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd

EV -4.96%

Edge -2.85%

Kelly -6.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.09%54.62%54.62%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.741.741.7457.47%57.47%57.47%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Commanders (Visit)

Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd

EV -2.89%

Edge -1.35%

Kelly -2.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.85%45.38%45.38%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.092.092.1448.78%47.73%47.73%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 54.62%; Washington Commanders (Visit): 45.38%. For Washington Commanders (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.14, with an expected value of -2.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.96%E -2.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.89%E -1.35%K -2.54%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-30 12:40
Caesars🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.96%E -2.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.98%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.