Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings v Carolina Panthers

2026-12-06 21:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 63.51%1.57fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -5.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.51%63.51%63.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.501.501.5368.49%66.67%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carolina Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.39%36.49%36.49%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.582.602.6439.68%38.73%38.46%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 63.51%; Carolina Panthers (Visit): 36.49%. For Minnesota Vikings (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.53, with an expected value of -2.82%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.82%E -1.84%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.09%E -2.71%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 15:39
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 04:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.73%E -3.15%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -7.27%E -4.98%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -8.06%E -3.20%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-29 12:22
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.