The School of Odds

Minnesota Vikings v Buffalo Bills

2026-11-10 01:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.78%40.27%40.27%41.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.352.352.4043%43%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 59.73%1.67fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.23%59.73%59.73%61.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.581.6566%63%63%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.34%E -1.39%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -9.22%E -6.06%K -17.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 22:37
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.37%E -3.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.45%E -0.880%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.