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Minnesota Vikings v Buffalo Bills

2026-11-10 01:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 38.17%2.62fair odd
EV -0.752%
Edge -0.289%
Kelly -0.470%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%38.32%38.12%41.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.492.502.6045.45%40.23%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 61.83%1.62fair odd
EV +0.161%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.260%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.35%61.68%61.88%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.541.541.6271.43%64.85%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 38.17%; Buffalo Bills (Visit): 61.83%. For Buffalo Bills (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.617. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.620, producing a positive expected value of +0.161%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -13.35%E -5.88%K -10.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV +0.161%E +0.099%K +0.260%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 20:05
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -1.69%E -1.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 19:50
FanDuel🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.30%EV -6.86%E -2.81%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.70%EV -2.31%E -1.46%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-02 22:24
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.62%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-02 19:49
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.15%E -3.84%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.93%E -1.87%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 19:50
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.752%E -0.289%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.6%2026-11-03 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.90%E -0.738%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-02 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.90%E -0.738%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-02 22:39
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-02 20:00
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-02 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 20:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -5.33%E -2.15%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-02 22:24
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 20:15
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 22:25
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 20:14
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 20:15
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-02 20:00
Bet Right🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.62%E -3.15%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.55%E -2.27%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 20:10
Bovada🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.52%E -0.587%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-02 19:59
Coolbet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -3.42%E -1.35%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.17%E -2.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 06:35
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -1.90%E -0.738%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-02 20:05
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-02 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-03 06:29
ReBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 06:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.95%E -1.99%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.79%E -3.11%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 06:34
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.752%E -0.289%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-03 06:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.752%E -0.289%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-03 06:29
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-02 22:45
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 06:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 00:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 06:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 06:28
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 20:59
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 06:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 21:00
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 06:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-03 06:30
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 22:39
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.57%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.10%E -2.48%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 06:30
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 10:40
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.39%E -3.49%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 11:14
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.752%E -0.289%K -0.470%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-03 06:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.48%E -2.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-03 06:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.66%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-03 06:35
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.26%E -4.84%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 21:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -10.30%E -4.38%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -10.35%E -7.14%K -23.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-03 01:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.89%EV -16.02%E -7.28%K -13.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.11%EV -13.44%E -9.60%K -33.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-02 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-11-03 09:00
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-11-03 01:35
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-11-03 06:30
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-11-03 10:25
Polymarket◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.1%2026-11-03 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-11-03 05:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-11-03 04:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-11-03 04:10
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%3.5%2026-11-03 11:15
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%8.3%2026-11-03 10:30