Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings v Buffalo Bills

2026-11-10 01:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd

EV -5.47%

Edge -2.28%

Kelly -3.91%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

38.78%39.39%39.39%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.402.402.402.4041.67%41.67%41.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 60.61%1.65fair odd

EV -3.02%

Edge -1.89%

Kelly -5.03%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.00%60.61%60.61%61.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.561.561.6065.79%64.10%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Minnesota Vikings (Local): 39.39%; Buffalo Bills (Visit): 60.61%. For Buffalo Bills (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.60, with an expected value of -3.02%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.02%E -1.89%K -5.03%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-04 22:09
Caesars🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.47%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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