The School of Odds

Minnesota Vikings v Atlanta Falcons

2026-11-29 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Minnesota Vikings (Local)

Prediction 63.07%1.59fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%63.07%62.87%65.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.461.511.501.5668%66%67%64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 36.93%2.71fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.27%36.93%37.13%39.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.582.542.8042%39%39%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -7.92%E -5.42%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +3.41%E +1.22%K +1.89%G +0.065%4.2%2026-07-20 13:07
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.40%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.19%E -2.44%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.61%E -1.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.36%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.18%Caesars 1.56 (64.2%) / DraftKings 2.80 (35.8%)Show details
Minnesota Vikings (Local)Atlanta Falcons (Visit)Margin
Caesars 1.56 (64.2%)DraftKings 2.80 (35.8%)+0.183%