The School of Odds
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Miami Dolphins v New York Jets

2026-11-29 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -6.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%52.62%52.62%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.801.801.8055.56%55.56%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Jets (Visit)

Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.38%47.38%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0551.28%50.00%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Dolphins (Local): 52.62%; New York Jets (Visit): 47.38%. For New York Jets (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:52
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.