Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins v Los Angeles Chargers

2026-12-27 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 25.94%3.86fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%25.94%25.94%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.703.703.8027.78%27.03%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)

Prediction 74.06%1.35fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -9.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.32%74.06%74.06%74.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.291.291.3178.13%77.22%77.22%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.43%E -0.377%K -0.512%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.20%E -4.06%K -18.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.62%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.98%E -2.27%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 04:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.