The School of Odds

Miami Dolphins v Detroit Lions

2026-11-08 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Miami Dolphins (Local)

3.2530.77%Min
3.3030.30%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.3529.85%Max
28.57%3.500Min
29.50%3.390Max
29.04%3.444Mean
29.04%3.444Median
29.04%3.444IQM
29.04%3.443Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.35 under the IQM model: 29.04%

EV -2.73%Edge -0.814%Kelly -1.16%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Detroit Lions (Visit)

1.3474.63%Min
1.3574.07%Mean
1.3574.07%Median
1.3673.53%Max
70.50%1.418Min
71.43%1.400Max
70.96%1.409Mean
70.96%1.409Median
70.96%1.409IQM
70.96%1.409Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.36 under the IQM model: 70.96%

EV -3.49%Edge -2.57%Kelly -9.69%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMiami Dolphins (Local) ▼Detroit Lions (Visit)MarginUpdated
Caesars3.35I 29.85% NM 28.57%EV -2.73% E -0.814% K -1.16% G +0.000%1.34I 74.63% NM 71.43%EV -4.91% E -3.66% K -14.44% G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings3.25I 30.77% NM 29.50%EV -5.63% E -1.73% K -2.50% G +0.000%1.36I 73.53% NM 70.50%EV -3.49% E -2.57% K -9.69% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth