Miami Dolphins v Detroit Lions

2026-11-08 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

29%

71%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 29.04%3.44fair odd

EV -2.73%

Edge -0.814%

Kelly -1.16%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.57%29.04%29.04%29.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.253.303.303.3531%30%30%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 70.96%1.41fair odd

EV -3.49%

Edge -2.57%

Kelly -9.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.50%70.96%70.96%71.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.341.351.351.3675%74%74%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.73%E -0.814%K -1.16%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.91%E -3.66%K -14.44%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.63%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.49%E -2.57%K -9.69%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 09:53

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.