Miami Dolphins v Chicago Bears

2026-12-13 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Miami Dolphins (Local)

Odds

2.9034.48%Min

2.9533.90%Mean

2.9533.90%Median

3.0033.33%Max

Consensus probabilities

31.97%3.128Min

32.87%3.042Max

32.42%3.084Mean

32.42%3.084Median

32.42%3.084IQM

32.40%3.087Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.00 under the IQM model: 32.42%

EV -2.74%Edge -0.912%Kelly -1.37%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago Bears (Visit)

Odds

1.4170.92%Min

1.4270.67%Mean

1.4270.67%Median

1.4270.42%Max

Consensus probabilities

67.13%1.490Min

68.03%1.470Max

67.58%1.480Mean

67.58%1.480Median

67.58%1.480IQM

67.60%1.479Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.42 under the IQM model: 67.58%

EV -4.04%Edge -2.84%Kelly -9.62%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Miami Dolphins (Local) ▼	Chicago Bears (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.97%EV -2.74% E -0.912% K -1.37% G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92% NM 68.03%EV -4.71% E -3.34% K -11.50% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.87%EV -5.98% E -2.06% K -3.15% G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42% NM 67.13%EV -4.04% E -2.84% K -9.62% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth