The School of Odds

Los Angeles Rams v New York Giants

2026-09-22 00:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 76.78%1.30fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -9.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.67%76.78%76.78%77.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.241.2782%80%81%79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 23.22%4.31fair odd
EV -0.173%
Edge -0.040%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%23.22%23.22%24.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.954.124.104.3025%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.48%E -1.96%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 21:49
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.79%E -3.86%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.82%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 00:25
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.32%E -5.18%K -28.74%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.173%E -0.040%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.