The School of Odds

Los Angeles Rams v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-12-04 01:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 65.78%1.52fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.44%65.78%65.78%67.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.461.4970%69%69%67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 34.22%2.92fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.267%
Kelly -0.408%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%34.22%34.22%35.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.702.802.802.9037%36%36%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.98%E -1.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -7.62%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -0.775%E -0.267%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.