Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams v Arizona Cardinals

2026-10-18 20:05 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 85.62%1.17fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -17.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.03%85.62%85.62%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.29%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 14.38%6.95fair odd
EV +7.84%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.095%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.38%14.38%15.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.756.757.5016.67%14.81%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 85.62%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 14.38%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.95. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +7.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.82%E -5.29%K -58.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +7.84%E +1.05%K +1.21%G +0.095%4.2%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.39%E -2.10%K -17.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -13.73%E -2.29%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-20 13:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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