Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams v Arizona Cardinals

2026-10-18 20:05 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

86%

14%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Rams (Local)

Prediction 85.95%1.16fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -2.55%

Kelly -22.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

84.69%85.95%85.95%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.111.111.1390.91%89.82%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 14.05%7.12fair odd

EV +5.38%

Edge +0.718%

Kelly +0.828%

Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.79%14.05%14.05%15.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

6.256.836.757.5016.00%14.63%14.81%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Rams (Local): 85.95%; Arizona Cardinals (Visit): 14.05%. For Arizona Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.12. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.50, producing a positive expected value of +5.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.46%E -4.96%K -54.56%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +5.38%E +0.718%K +0.828%G +0.045%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:48
Betr (AU)🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.60%E -4.14%K -41.79%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -5.15%E -0.764%K -0.896%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-19 20:24
DraftKings🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.88%E -2.55%K -22.14%G +0.000%	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-07 22:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.04I 96.15%NM 69.59%	2.38I 42.02%NM 30.41%	38.2%	2026-09-09 17:30