The School of Odds

Los Angeles Chargers v New England Patriots

2026-11-30 01:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 55.15%1.81fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%55.15%55.15%55.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.741.741.7457%57%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 44.85%2.23fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%44.85%44.85%44.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.142.142.142.1447%47%47%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 00:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.