The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Los Angeles Chargers v New England Patriots

2026-11-30 01:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 56.45%1.77fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.890%
Kelly +2.00%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%56.45%56.45%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.701.701.8062.89%59.00%59.00%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 43.55%2.30fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%43.55%43.55%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.45%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Los Angeles Chargers (Local): 56.45%; New England Patriots (Visit): 43.55%. For New England Patriots (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.30. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.35, producing a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -10.25%E -6.45%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +2.35%E +1.00%K +1.74%G +0.041%5.4%2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +1.60%E +0.890%K +2.00%G +0.032%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -10.71%E -5.23%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +1.93%DraftKings 1.80 (56.6%) / Caesars 2.35 (43.4%)Show details
Los Angeles Chargers (Local)New England Patriots (Visit)Margin
DraftKings🎯 1.80 (56.6%)Caesars🎯 2.35 (43.4%)+1.93%