Los Angeles Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs

2027-01-03 21:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Chargers (Local)

Prediction 53.16%1.88fair odd

EV -4.32%

Edge -2.40%

Kelly -5.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.03%53.16%53.19%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.761.781.781.8057%56%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 46.84%2.13fair odd

EV -3.97%

Edge -1.94%

Kelly -3.78%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.75%46.84%46.81%46.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.022.012.0550%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.32%E -2.40%K -5.40%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.97%E -1.94%K -3.78%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 08:35
Coolbet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.38%E -3.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.85%E -2.91%K -5.79%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-21 08:40
Caesars	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.44%E -3.66%K -8.48%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.32%E -3.16%K -6.32%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-21 08:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.