The School of Odds

Las Vegas Raiders v Seattle Seahawks

2026-11-15 21:05 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -0.720%
Edge -0.195%
Kelly -0.267%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.83%26.83%27.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.553.7029%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Seahawks (Visit)

Prediction 73.17%1.37fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -13.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.19%73.17%73.17%74.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.301.301.3178%77%77%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.720%E -0.195%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.61%E -4.35%K -19.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 09:52
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.15%E -3.17%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.