Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Raiders v Denver Broncos

2026-12-20 21:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Raiders (Local)

Prediction 35.08%2.85fair odd
EV -0.034%
Edge -0.012%
Kelly -0.018%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.08%35.08%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.732.8538.46%36.70%36.70%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 64.92%1.54fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%64.92%64.92%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.471.5069.44%68.03%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.034%E -0.012%K -0.018%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.51%E -4.52%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.80%E -3.39%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.61%E -1.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 04:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.