Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Chiefs v San Francisco 49ers

2026-12-27 21:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prediction 58.94%1.70fair odd

EV -2.76%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -4.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.23%58.94%58.94%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.621.621.6562.89%61.73%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 41.06%2.44fair odd

EV -3.50%

Edge -1.49%

Kelly -2.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.36%41.06%41.06%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.332.332.3543.48%43.01%43.01%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.29%E -3.96%K -10.66%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.50%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.