Kansas City Chiefs v New England Patriots

2026-12-22 01:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prediction 56.41%1.77fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -2.41%

Kelly -5.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.41%56.41%56.41%56.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.701.701.701.7059%59%59%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New England Patriots (Visit)

Prediction 43.59%2.29fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -1.86%

Kelly -3.42%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.59%43.59%43.59%43.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.202.202.202.2045%45%45%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.10%E -2.41%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.42%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 00:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.