The School of Odds

Kansas City Chiefs v New England Patriots

2026-12-22 01:15 — NFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

1.7058.82%Min
1.7058.82%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7058.82%Max
56.41%1.773Min
56.41%1.773Max
56.41%1.773Mean
56.41%1.773Median
56.41%1.773IQM
56.41%1.773Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 56.41%

EV -4.10%Edge -2.41%Kelly -5.86%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: New England Patriots (Visit)

2.2045.45%Min
2.2045.45%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.2045.45%Max
43.59%2.294Min
43.59%2.294Max
43.59%2.294Mean
43.59%2.294Median
43.59%2.294IQM
43.59%2.294Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 43.59%

EV -4.10%Edge -1.86%Kelly -3.42%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerKansas City Chiefs (Local) ▼New England Patriots (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -4.10% E -2.41% K -5.86% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -4.10% E -1.86% K -3.42% G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 00:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth