The School of Odds

Kansas City Chiefs v Las Vegas Raiders

2027-01-10 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kansas City Chiefs (Local)

Prediction 77.62%1.29fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -15.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.62%77.62%77.62%77.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.241.241.2481%81%81%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 22.38%4.47fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -0.873%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%22.38%22.38%22.38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.304.304.304.3023%23%23%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.75%E -3.03%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.75%E -0.873%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-21 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.