Jacksonville Jaguars v Washington Commanders

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Jacksonville Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 60.92%1.64fair odd

EV -3.14%

Edge -1.97%

Kelly -5.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.64%60.92%60.86%62.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.541.561.551.5965%64%65%63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Washington Commanders (Visit)

Prediction 39.08%2.56fair odd

EV -0.735%

Edge -0.289%

Kelly -0.477%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.75%39.08%39.14%40.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.352.432.412.5443%41%41%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.14%E -1.97%K -5.32%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-21 08:44
Coolbet	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.57%E -3.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -5.82%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-21 08:50
DraftKings	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -6.18%E -4.02%K -11.45%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -0.735%E -0.289%K -0.477%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 08:42

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.