The School of Odds

Indianapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Prediction 65.43%1.53fair odd
EV -0.544%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.11%65.43%65.43%67.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.451.5272%69%69%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 34.57%2.89fair odd
EV +0.247%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%34.57%34.57%36.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.9038%36%36%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.70%E -7.03%K -25.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.247%E +0.085%K +0.130%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 22:37
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -0.544%E -0.358%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -10.12%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 02:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.