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Indianapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indianapolis Colts (Local)
Prediction 71.38%1.40fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.956%
Kelly +3.23%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%71.05%71.43%73.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.331.331.4284.75%75.19%75.19%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tennessee Titans (Visit)
Prediction 28.62%3.49fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.452%
Kelly +0.629%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.95%28.57%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.343.353.5535.46%29.96%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indianapolis Colts (Local): 71.38%; Tennessee Titans (Visit): 28.62%. For Tennessee Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV +1.36%E +0.956%K +3.23%G +0.044% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -19.29%E -6.84%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -1.50%E -1.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -6.12%E -1.87%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.21%E -1.61%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -2.21%E -1.61%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV +0.174%E +0.050%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -4.12%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-18 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 16:58 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 16:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -3.64%E -2.70%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -0.399%E -0.115%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-18 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.64%E -2.70%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.64%E -2.70%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.64%E -2.70%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-18 16:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -3.64%E -2.70%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 15:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -3.55%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -4.12%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-18 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-18 16:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.98%E -2.15%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 15:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.174%E +0.050%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 16:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.26%E -0.364%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.26%E -0.364%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.26%E -0.364%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 16:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 12:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.07%E -3.81%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-18 15:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.69%E -0.791%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.27%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 16:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.49%E -4.96%K -20.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.174%E +0.050%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-18 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +1.60%E +0.452%K +0.629%G +0.010% | 5.1% | 2026-10-18 16:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 15:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.55%E -1.68%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-18 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.92%E -6.14%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -1.26%E -0.364%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -7.92%E -6.14%K -27.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -10.06%E -7.99%K -38.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.84%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 16:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.06%EV -15.77%E -13.37%K -87.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.63%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.88% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 16:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 0.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 2.5% | 2026-10-18 16:59 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11% | 6.2% | 2026-10-18 16:54 |