Indianapolis Colts v Miami Dolphins

2026-11-15 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

72%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Prediction 72.41%1.38fair odd

EV -3.69%

Edge -2.78%

Kelly -11.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

72.18%72.41%72.41%72.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.281.311.311.3378%77%77%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd

EV -4.82%

Edge -1.40%

Kelly -1.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.35%27.59%27.59%27.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.403.423.423.4529%29%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-20 13:07
Caesars	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.31%E -5.71%K -26.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-20 13:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.