Indianapolis Colts v Houston Texans

2026-09-27 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Odds

1.9152.36%Min

2.0049.88%Mean

2.0049.88%Median

2.1047.62%Max

Consensus probabilities

45.74%2.186Min

48.93%2.044Max

47.33%2.113Mean

47.33%2.113Median

47.33%2.113IQM

46.98%2.128Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 47.33%

EV -0.600%Edge -0.286%Kelly -0.545%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Houston Texans (Visit)

Odds

1.7756.50%Min

1.8055.56%Mean

1.8055.56%Median

1.8354.64%Max

Consensus probabilities

51.07%1.958Min

54.26%1.843Max

52.67%1.899Mean

52.67%1.899Median

52.67%1.899IQM

53.02%1.886Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 52.67%

EV -3.62%Edge -1.98%Kelly -4.36%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Indianapolis Colts (Local) ▼	Houston Texans (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -0.600% E -0.286% K -0.545% G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -6.78% E -3.83% K -8.81% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-15 02:10
Bet Right	2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -4.39% E -2.17% K -4.30% G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -4.15% E -2.28% K -5.06% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -9.59% E -5.02% K -10.54% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -3.62% E -1.98% K -4.36% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-15 20:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth