Indianapolis Colts v Houston Texans

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Prediction 47.84%2.09fair odd

EV -1.92%

Edge -0.939%

Kelly -1.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.75%47.84%47.84%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.911.981.982.0552%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Texans (Visit)

Prediction 52.16%1.92fair odd

EV -4.55%

Edge -2.49%

Kelly -5.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.07%52.16%52.16%53.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.811.811.8356%55%55%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.92%E -0.939%K -1.83%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.12%E -3.40%K -7.64%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-21 08:49
Caesars	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.62%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.55%E -2.49%K -5.48%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-15 20:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.