The School of Odds

Indianapolis Colts v Dallas Cowboys

2026-11-08 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Indianapolis Colts (Local)

1.8753.48%Min
1.9651.02%Mean
1.9651.02%Median
2.0548.78%Max
46.75%2.139Min
50.00%2.000Max
48.38%2.067Mean
48.38%2.067Median
48.38%2.067IQM
48.06%2.081Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.05 under the IQM model: 48.38%

EV -0.828%Edge -0.404%Kelly -0.788%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Dallas Cowboys (Visit)

1.8055.56%Min
1.8354.50%Mean
1.8354.50%Median
1.8753.48%Max
50.00%2.000Min
53.25%1.878Max
51.62%1.937Mean
51.62%1.937Median
51.62%1.937IQM
51.94%1.925Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 51.62%

EV -3.46%Edge -1.85%Kelly -3.98%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerIndianapolis Colts (Local) ▼Dallas Cowboys (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -0.828% E -0.404% K -0.788% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -7.08% E -3.93% K -8.85% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:38
Caesars1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -9.54% E -5.10% K -10.96% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -3.46% E -1.85% K -3.98% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth