Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Colts v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-12-27 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%47.38%47.38%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.002.002.0551.28%50.00%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -2.93%
Kelly -6.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%52.62%52.62%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.801.801.8055.56%55.56%55.56%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.88%E -1.40%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.28%E -2.93%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 04:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.