L’École des cotes

Indianapolis Colts v Baltimore Ravens

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Prévision 36.70%2.73cote équitable
EV -0.921%
Avantage -0.341%
Kelly -0.542%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.41%36.83%36.66%38.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.602.612.7043.48%38.47%38.31%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Ravens (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.30%1.58cote équitable
EV +0.020%
Avantage +0.013%
Kelly +0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%63.17%63.34%64.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.501.501.5874.07%66.70%66.67%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV +0.020%E +0.013%K +0.035%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 19:29
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.613%E -0.390%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 18:10
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 21:00
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 13:59
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 17:20
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 21:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 08:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 21:00
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -9.36%E -3.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 06:19
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 12:04
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.65%E -0.618%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 23:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 10:23
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 16:56
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 00:54
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 23:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 00:54
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 00:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 06:19
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 06:15
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 21:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 06:49
Coolbet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 21:25
MyBookie.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 21:04
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:50
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:24
SportsBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.65%E -0.618%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 22:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -8.99%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 21:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -8.99%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 21:04
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 10:25
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.99%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 63.01%EV -14.54%E -10.77%K -41.54%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-25 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-25 16:00
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%8.0%2026-07-16 21:00