Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Indianapolis Colts v Baltimore Ravens

Inicio: 2026-09-13 17:05 UTC

Final: Indianapolis Colts 23–41 Baltimore Ravens

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Predicción 40.90%2.45momio equitativo
EV +0.609%
Ventaja +0.248%
Kelly +0.417%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.39%41.04%40.81%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.352.4647.62%42.97%42.55%40.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visitante)

Predicción 59.10%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.709%
Ventaja -0.422%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.96%59.19%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.611.621.6868.97%61.94%61.73%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Indianapolis Colts (Local): 40.90%; Baltimore Ravens (Visitante): 59.10%. Para Indianapolis Colts (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.45. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.46, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.609%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV +0.609%E +0.248%K +0.417%G +0.003%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 17:00
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.84%E -0.769%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.84%E -0.769%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-13 16:20
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.769%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 14:30
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.84%E -0.769%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 14:30
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.84%E -0.769%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.84%E -0.769%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:50
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.84%E -0.769%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 16:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -2.66%E -1.12%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.48%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 16:05
Caesars🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.48%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.48%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 16:01
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -3.48%E -1.47%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:55
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 16:00
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.66%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 15:55
betfred_uk🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:00
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 17:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 16:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 15:40
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.30%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-13 16:45
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.30%E -1.84%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 17:01
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:50
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:50
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.71%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 15:59
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -0.709%E -0.422%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 16:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.12%E -2.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 14:19
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.30%E -0.778%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 16:29
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 16:20
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -6.34%E -2.77%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.30%E -0.778%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 17:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 16:10
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.98%E -3.55%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -9.62%E -4.35%K -7.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 15:39
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.30%E -0.778%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:00
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.02%E -4.56%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.07%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%EV -14.11%E -6.72%K -12.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 59.15%EV -14.30%E -9.86%K -31.78%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-13 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎2.55I 39.22%NM 39.57%1.67I 59.88%NM 60.43%-0.9%2026-09-13 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-09-13 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-09-13 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-09-13 17:01
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-09-13 17:00
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-13 16:45
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-09-13 17:00
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-09-13 17:01
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%1.9%2026-09-13 17:01