La escuela de los momios

Indianapolis Colts v Baltimore Ravens

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — NFL

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Indianapolis Colts (Local)

Predicción 36.70%2.73momio equitativo
EV -0.921%
Ventaja -0.341%
Kelly -0.542%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.41%36.83%36.66%38.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.602.612.7043.48%38.47%38.31%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Baltimore Ravens (Visitante)

Predicción 63.30%1.58momio equitativo
EV +0.020%
Ventaja +0.013%
Kelly +0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%63.17%63.34%64.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.501.501.5874.07%66.70%66.67%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -7.53%E -2.99%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV +0.020%E +0.013%K +0.035%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-22 19:29
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -0.613%E -0.390%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-25 18:10
DraftKings2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.51%E -1.63%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 21:00
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 13:59
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 17:20
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 21:40
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-21 08:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 05:40
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.26%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 21:00
Marathon Bet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -9.36%E -3.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.14%E -2.06%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 19:40
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 06:19
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.41%E -2.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 12:04
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.65%E -0.618%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 23:00
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-22 10:23
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 16:56
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 00:54
Hard Rock Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 09:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 23:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 23:48
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 00:54
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.86%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 00:55
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 00:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 06:19
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 06:15
ReBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 21:00
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.59%E -1.77%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 02:10
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 06:49
Coolbet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.79%E -2.67%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.04%E -3.36%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 21:25
MyBookie.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -5.69%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -5.68%E -3.81%K -11.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-16 21:04
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.921%E -0.341%K -0.542%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 23:50
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 23:50
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.43%E -2.52%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.31%E -4.26%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 17:24
SportsBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.65%E -0.618%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 22:50
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -8.99%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 21:00
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%EV -8.99%E -3.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 21:04
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -10.10%E -4.12%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.94%E -4.72%K -14.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-23 10:25
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.99%EV -15.60%E -6.78%K -12.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 63.01%EV -14.54%E -10.77%K -41.54%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-25 23:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-07-26 05:09
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%8.0%2026-07-16 21:00