The School of Odds

Houston Texans v Tennessee Titans

2027-01-10 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 72.61%1.38fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -12.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.61%72.61%72.61%72.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.321.321.321.3276%76%76%76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.39%27.39%27.39%27.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.503.503.5029%29%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.15%E -3.14%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -4.15%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.