The School of Odds

Houston Texans v New York Giants

2026-10-25 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 69.00%1.45fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.51%69.00%69.00%70.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.361.391.391.4274%72%72%70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 31.00%3.23fair odd
EV +0.742%
Edge +0.228%
Kelly +0.330%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.00%31.00%32.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.953.103.103.2534%32%32%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.16%E -4.53%K -17.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.742%E +0.228%K +0.330%G +0.002%4.3%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.02%E -1.42%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.