Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Texans v New York Giants

2026-10-25 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 68.74%1.45fair odd

EV -1.71%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -3.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.97%68.74%68.74%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.401.401.4373.53%71.68%71.68%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 31.26%3.20fair odd

EV +1.61%

Edge +0.494%

Kelly +0.714%

Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.50%31.26%31.26%33.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.083.083.2534.48%32.52%32.52%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Houston Texans (Local): 68.74%; New York Giants (Visit): 31.26%. For New York Giants (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.25, producing a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.52%E -4.79%K -18.11%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.61%E +0.494%K +0.714%G +0.011%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.71%E -1.19%K -3.97%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -9.34%E -3.22%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-07 21:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.