The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Houston Texans v New York Giants

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 17:02 UTC

Final: Houston Texans 21–27 New York Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 79.72%1.25fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -8.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%79.56%79.66%81.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.191.201.2392.59%83.71%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 20.28%4.93fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.351%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%20.44%20.34%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.674.705.0025.00%21.42%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Texans (Local): 79.72%; New York Giants (Visit): 20.28%. For New York Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%EV +1.41%E +0.281%K +0.351%G +0.005%2.0%2026-10-25 16:33
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +1.41%E +0.281%K +0.351%G +0.005%5.5%2026-10-25 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.53%E -6.49%K -47.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +1.41%E +0.281%K +0.351%G +0.005%6.2%2026-10-25 15:23
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV +0.392%E +0.079%K +0.099%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 14:53
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 14:53
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-25 14:45
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 14:45
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 14:53
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -0.622%E -0.127%K -0.160%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV -1.64%E -0.337%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 14:30
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.40%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -1.84%E -0.380%K -0.479%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-25 17:00
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 11:00
picklebet_au🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 16:06
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 08:45
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 10:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 11:00
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.65%E -0.552%K -0.697%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 04:15
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.80%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.20%EV -3.06%E -0.639%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-25 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.66%E -0.771%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-20 11:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.66%E -0.771%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 16:35
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -3.66%E -0.771%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 06:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.70%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.30%EV -4.48%E -0.950%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 10:59
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.68%E -0.995%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 16:56
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.68%E -0.995%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 16:57
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -4.68%E -0.995%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 16:55
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.68%E -0.995%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 16:55
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -4.68%E -0.995%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 16:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -4.68%E -0.995%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 11:00
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 15:50
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 15:50
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.71%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 13:24
ReBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -7.72%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 17:00
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.13%E -4.31%K -27.02%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -7.72%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 15:57
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.61%EV -1.95%E -1.58%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.39%EV -8.33%E -1.84%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 16:50
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -3.54%E -2.93%K -16.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 06:33
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.34%E -3.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -8.32%E -7.24%K -55.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -8.73%E -1.94%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -5.93%E -5.03%K -32.95%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -9.75%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.76%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.76%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 15:50
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -10.76%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 15:50
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -12.79%E -2.97%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 17:00
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -1.95%E -1.58%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -13.81%E -3.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 79.55%EV -13.90%E -12.87%K -173.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.45%EV -14.82%E -3.53%K -4.63%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-25 14:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -6.73%E -5.75%K -39.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -16.85%E -4.11%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.74%E -2.25%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -18.88%E -4.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06%-0.3%2026-10-25 16:59
Novig◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-10-25 16:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-10-25 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-10-25 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-10-25 16:50
ProphetX◎1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%4.95I 20.20%NM 20.03%0.8%2026-10-25 17:00
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-10-25 17:00
Kalshi◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-10-23 15:06
Polymarket◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-10-21 18:25