The School of Odds

Houston Texans v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-12-20 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 60.46%1.65fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%60.46%60.51%61.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.581.561.6264%63%64%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 39.54%2.53fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%39.54%39.49%40.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.362.422.392.5042%41%42%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -6.68%E -2.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:07
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.15%E -0.460%K -0.766%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 13:09
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.50%E -2.30%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-20 13:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.