Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Texans v Cincinnati Bengals

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 17:02 UTC

Final: Houston Texans 6–20 Cincinnati Bengals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 57.52%1.74fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.957%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.49%57.40%59.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.661.671.7166.23%60.16%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 42.48%2.35fair odd
EV +0.672%
Edge +0.283%
Kelly +0.490%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.60%42.51%42.60%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.242.252.3750.00%44.61%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Houston Texans (Local): 57.52%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 42.48%. For Cincinnati Bengals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.672%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV +0.672%E +0.283%K +0.490%G +0.003%3.9%2026-09-20 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-20 16:59
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.178%E -0.076%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-20 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -0.602%E -0.257%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-20 16:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.602%E -0.257%K -0.450%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 16:44
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 16:44
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 16:44
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 15:49
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:44
Caesars🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.64%E -0.957%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-17 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.64%E -0.957%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-17 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.64%E -0.957%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-17 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -1.64%E -0.957%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-17 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-17 16:35
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-20 16:27
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 12:34
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:54
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 15:23
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 15:23
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:55
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:55
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:54
Betsson🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 15:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.81%E -4.21%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.85%E -2.17%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -5.27%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-17 15:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:44
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 15:50
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 15:50
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 15:49
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 07:14
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:59
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 07:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 07:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 07:14
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -7.40%E -3.39%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-20 16:59
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 16:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.67%E -4.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -2.79%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -9.10%E -4.25%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.98%EV -13.14%E -8.70%K -25.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.02%EV -15.04%E -7.52%K -15.04%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-17 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-20 16:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-20 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-09-20 16:59
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-20 15:29
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-20 16:35
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-09-20 16:59
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-09-20 16:59
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%2.8%2026-09-20 16:55