The School of Odds

Houston Texans v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-09-20 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Houston Texans (Local)

1.6959.17%Min
1.7158.31%Mean
1.7158.31%Median
1.7457.47%Max
55.15%1.813Min
56.67%1.765Max
55.91%1.789Mean
55.91%1.789Median
55.91%1.789IQM
55.89%1.789Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 55.91%

EV -2.72%Edge -1.56%Kelly -3.67%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

2.1446.73%Min
2.1745.98%Mean
2.1745.98%Median
2.2145.25%Max
43.33%2.308Min
44.85%2.230Max
44.09%2.268Mean
44.09%2.268Median
44.09%2.268IQM
44.11%2.267Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.21 under the IQM model: 44.09%

EV -2.56%Edge -1.16%Kelly -2.12%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHouston Texans (Local) ▼Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -2.72% E -1.56% K -3.67% G +0.000%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -5.65% E -2.64% K -4.96% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Bet Right1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -4.39% E -2.57% K -6.19% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -5.21% E -2.42% K -4.53% G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars1.69I 59.17% NM 56.67%EV -5.51% E -3.26% K -7.99% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 43.33%EV -2.56% E -1.16% K -2.12% G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 02:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth