The School of Odds

Houston Texans v Baltimore Ravens

2026-11-29 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Houston Texans (Local)

Prediction 51.64%1.94fair odd
EV -5.49%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -6.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%51.64%51.64%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.831.831.8355%55%55%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Baltimore Ravens (Visit)

Prediction 48.36%2.07fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%48.36%48.36%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.961.962.0052%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.49%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.29%E -1.64%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.49%E -3.00%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.64%E -4.00%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.