Green Bay Packers v Miami Dolphins

2026-12-20 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

81%

19%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 80.74%1.24fair odd

EV -3.92%

Edge -3.29%

Kelly -20.62%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

80.46%80.74%80.72%81.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.171.181.171.1985%85%85%84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 19.26%5.19fair odd

EV -3.70%

Edge -0.741%

Kelly -0.926%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.96%19.26%19.28%19.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.904.934.905.0020%20%20%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.92%E -3.29%K -20.62%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.63%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-20 13:07
Caesars	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.73%K -32.55%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.70%E -0.741%K -0.926%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-20 13:09
Coolbet	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.53%E -4.73%K -32.55%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.63%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-20 13:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.