Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Green Bay Packers v Houston Texans

2027-01-05 01:15 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 57.68%1.73fair odd

EV +0.367%

Edge +0.211%

Kelly +0.496%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.15%57.68%58.25%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.651.621.7462.89%60.61%61.73%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Texans (Visit)

Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd

EV -0.553%

Edge -0.235%

Kelly -0.410%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.36%42.32%41.75%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.142.252.262.3546.73%44.44%44.25%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Green Bay Packers (Local): 57.68%; Houston Texans (Visit): 42.32%. For Green Bay Packers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.74, producing a positive expected value of +0.367%.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV +0.367%E +0.211%K +0.496%G +0.002%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -9.44%E -4.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-29 21:05
Coolbet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.55%E -4.05%K -10.57%G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.36%E -1.93%K -3.46%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.29%E -5.21%K -14.04%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.553%E -0.235%K -0.410%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-20 13:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.