The School of Odds

Green Bay Packers v Houston Texans

2027-01-05 01:15 UTC — NFL

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 58.10%1.72fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.723%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%58.10%58.25%59.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.591.641.621.7063%61%62%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Houston Texans (Visit)

Prediction 41.90%2.39fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%41.90%41.75%43.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.272.262.3545%44%44%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.23%E -0.723%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.82%E -3.56%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-21 08:35
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -5.31%E -2.35%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -7.62%E -4.79%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -1.54%E -0.654%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.