Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Green Bay Packers v Detroit Lions

2027-01-10 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 55.15%1.81fair odd

EV -4.03%

Edge -2.32%

Kelly -5.45%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.15%55.15%55.15%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.741.741.7457.47%57.47%57.47%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 44.85%2.23fair odd

EV -4.03%

Edge -1.88%

Kelly -3.54%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.85%44.85%44.85%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.142.142.142.1446.73%46.73%46.73%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Green Bay Packers (Local): 55.15%; Detroit Lions (Visit): 44.85%. For Detroit Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.14, with an expected value of -4.03%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-09 16:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.