The School of Odds

Green Bay Packers v Detroit Lions

2027-01-10 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 55.15%1.81fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%55.15%55.15%55.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.741.741.7457%57%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 44.85%2.23fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%44.85%44.85%44.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.142.142.142.1447%47%47%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.03%E -2.32%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.03%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.